Subscribe to RSSAuckland Will Have 38% Of NZ’s Population in 2031
There is no excuse for not planning for some speedy improvements to Auckland’s transport needs.
Statistics NZ today predicted that 38% of the country’s population will be living in Auckland in 2031, compared with 33 percent in 2006.
Natural increase (births minus deaths) is projected to account for almost two-thirds of the population growth, with the remainder due to net migration gains.
Of New Zealand’s 73 territorial authority areas, 44 are projected to have more people in 2031 than in 2006. However, population growth will generally slow over the projection period because of the narrowing gap between births and deaths.
The highest growth rates between 2006 and 2031 are expected in Queenstown-Lakes district (an average of 2.2 percent a year) and Selwyn district (2.0 percent). Manukau city and Rodney district (1.7 percent), Waimakariri district (1.6 percent), Tauranga city (1.5 percent) and Franklin district (1.4 percent), are also projected to experience relatively high population growth. All territorial authority areas will have more older people in the future.
Not surprisingly, with younger people fleeing overseas and baby boomers ready for their pension, the population is ageing.In 2031, 34 areas will have more than double the number of people aged 65 years and over, than in 2006. Selwyn district is projected to be home to almost four times the number of people aged 65 years and over in 2031, than in 2006, while Queenstown-Lakes will be home to over three times. Nationally, the number of older people (those aged 65 years and over) is projected to double between 2006 and 2031.
The department says the increase in older people is due to higher life expectancy, accentuated by the baby boomers born during the 1950s and 1960s entering these ages.
10 Comments
Auckland is projected to hit 2 million around 2040…
Large parts of Manukau City to the east and the west are a long way from the Rapid Transit Network.
@ Jeremy i would think we’d hit 2 million before then, I’m pretty sure we are increasing by about 27,000 a year and current population is 1.4 million.
Ah, but if people are all stuck in endless traffic jams, they won’t have time to procreate, so this prediction will obviously not come true
Ingolfson - Self driving cars and tinted windows can solve that problem the T2 lanes will be popular
“Ingolfson – Self driving cars and tinted windows can solve that problem the T2 lanes will be popular
”
In that case, it would be logical to change the T2 to T3 lanes
I was always sceptical of the usefulness of T2 anyway!!!
I cant see the point of T2 lanes myself. Unless there is good evidence that they encourage more than a few people to car-pool there is no point to them. All they end up doing is clogging up what should be bus lanes.
@Cam, that is what the are saying today, the NZ stats graph I saw a year or two ago said the “moderate” prediction was 2040, looks like following the “extreme” prediction…
More investment in electric trains and buses please, bus lanes and more park and rides and congestion charge into the cbd too! can of worms?
“More investment in electric trains and buses please, bus lanes and more park and rides and congestion charge into the cbd too! can of worms?” - The reality is what we will get is more sprawl, more cars and more congestion - Welcome to the 1950s. I would think this current government would look at this as a reason to hurry up getting rid of the MULs and start subdividing the countryside like there is no tommorow.